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Product Manager

Description

Metaculus is the premier public forecasting platform with over 2,800,000 forecasts on over 20,000 questions. Metaculus is "epistemic infrastructure" like Wikipedia and Our World In Data, providing the world with trusted, accurate information on a variety of questions, particularly in science and technology. Our mission is to enable everyone to model, understand, predict, and navigate the world’s most important and complex challenges.

As a Product Manager, you will own significant parts of our product roadmap across supporting our services and programs, and pushing the frontier of AI forecasting. You'll work with a small, talented team who are building the future of forecasting and sensemaking.

Team & Structure

  • Report to: Director of Product
  • Work directly with: 1 product manager, 5 engineers, 2 designers, 2 research engineers
  • Collaborate across: bizdev, marketing, programs and services

Responsibilities

AI Products

  • Lead product development for our AI Benchmark - a quarterly tournament with $50K prizes plus a base model leaderboard, aiming to become the premier forecasting benchmark
  • Build AI Forecasting/Sensemaking as a Service - using AI to scale forecasting
  • Push Metaculus to be the destination for AI forecasting measurement, commissioning, delivery, and use

Cross-functional Collaboration:

  • Work closely with bizdev on client relationships and services delivery
  • Collaborate with marketing on positioning and go-to-market strategies
  • Partner with engineering and design on technical architecture and user experience

Location

This is a fully remote position. We welcome applicants from all time zones. However, given the location of existing team members who will collaborate closely with this position, our preference is to fill this role with a candidate with consistent availability for collaboration between 8:30 AM to 12:30 PM PST (4:30 PM to 8:30 PM GMT).

Experience:

  • 4+ years product management experience
  • Experience with data/analytics tools or enterprise SaaS preferred
  • Experience with world or systems modeling preferred
  • Track record of shipping products that users love

Skills:

  • Product marketing sensibility
  • Comfort working with teammates across: engineering, design, bizdev, marketing, R&D
  • Web analytics and data analysis
  • Market and user research

Bonus:

  • Familiarity with forecasting or prediction markets
  • Statistics or quantitative background
  • Annual salary range of $100,000 - $150,000 USD, depending on experience.
  • We reimburse employees for health insurance costs, depending on country. In the US, we reimburse up to the legal maximum under a QSEHRA plan.
  • In the US, we offer a 401k plan for employees.
  • We provide generous parental leave; at a minimum (though it depends on jurisdiction) 14 weeks of paid leave for birthing parents and 6 weeks of paid leave for non-birthing parents.
  • We encourage our employees to meaningfully engage with and attend technical conferences and community events.
  • We offer travel opportunities for regular in-person working sessions and team retreats in the US and Europe.

Average salary estimate

$125000 / YEARLY (est.)
min
max
$100000K
$150000K

If an employer mentions a salary or salary range on their job, we display it as an "Employer Estimate". If a job has no salary data, Rise displays an estimate if available.

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EMPLOYMENT TYPE
Full-time, remote
DATE POSTED
October 12, 2025
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